International Race Fan

Tips and pointers for the big international meetings where British and Irish horses create favourable betting markets to profit from.

International Race Fan

Satono Crown Can Topple Kitasan Black in the Japan Cup

6.40 Tokyo

Last year’s winner, Kitasan Black looks a worthy favourite to retain his Japan Cup title, but it could be worth chancing Satono Crown to confirm the Takarazuka Kinen form on more suitable ground. Satono Crown was beaten a neck by Kitasan Black in the Tenno Sho just 4 weeks ago on usually soft ground, over 10 furlongs. He only just failed to reel in the favourite, and would have finished on top over a little bit further, which bodes well for today’s race over 2 furlongs extra. Today’s race could be the main target for Satono Crown, who weighed in very heavy for his last race and with likely improvement he could be much sharper this time around. His biggest win to date came in the Hong Kong Vase in December last year when stepping up to 1m4f for the first time, he overcame trouble in running to chase down Highland Reel from a long way back.

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International Race Fan

Mr Stunning Looks Good in the Jockey Club Sprint

This sprint may only be a group 2, but it features all the top sprinters in Hong Kong. Lucky Bubbles looks certain to go off favourite. He’s been a very expensive horse to follow at short prices, having being beaten the last five times sent off as the market leader, including twice odds-on. Lucky Bubbles and the second favourite Mr Stunning have faced each other in their last 3 races, with Mr Stunning leading 2-1.

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International Race Fan

Orbolution Can Hit the Board at 50-1 in the Juvenile Fillies Turf

9.26 Del Mar, Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

Aiden O’Brien brings in some star performers in to this year’s Juvenile Fillies Turf in Happily and September, for a race he has surprisingly never won. Despite the superiority of European turf horses it is the Americans that dominate this race, winning 7 of the 9 editions to date and it could pay to look at the US runners, at a price.

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International Race Fan

Thunder Snow and Recoletos Lively Outsiders at Ascot

15.15 Ascot

There are several in here that will not find the soft ground too much of a problem, including the favourite Ribchester, but I am willing to chance Thunder Snow at 20/1 each way. He was only beaten a neck by Al Wukair in the Prix Jacques le Marois after setting the pace on similar ground. His most impressive performance has come on soft ground when a 5 length winner of the group one Criterium International at Saint-Cloud as a two-year-old.

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International Race Fan

German Raider Instigator Gets His Ground

12.10 Deauville

Jean-Pierre Carvalho’s Instigator looks to have conditions in his favour in this 1m4f race with the ground currently very soft. He finished second to Akhiro in the Prix Turenne at Deauville on the 13th of September on similar ground where he only just failed to reel in the winner. He finished just over a length in front of Londres, who he meets again in today’s race; he is feared most as it was only his second career start, running an eye catching race under a sympathetic ride, finishing fast to take third.

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International Race Fan

La Coronel in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes at Keenland

The two market leaders, New Money Honey and Uni have been done no favours being drawn out widest of all in stalls 10 and 11. The wide draw may not be such a handicap for Uni, who likes to come off the pace but it could cause problems for New Money Honey who likes to race up with the pace and she is also returning off a 7 week break. Uni just caught La Coronel in final strides of the grade 2 Sands Point Stakes at Belmont Park 4 weeks ago; but there are reasons to think she can reverse form this time around.

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International Race Fan

13.10 Maisons-Laffitte, True Romance in the Prix Coaraze

Andre Fabre’s Cascadian and the Francis-Henri Graffard trained True Romance look like they could be very good colts in this 7 furlong conditions race. Cascadian is the likely favourite on the back of a very impressive debut, followed by a second place finish behind Mythical Magic at Deauville. He has struggled with the break in both races but has managed to get himself back in to his races, finishing strongly. He won his debut race at Chantilly by 4.5 lengths on good ground, showing great acceleration but the soft ground seemed less to his liking next time out. Though he was a beaten favourite in his second outing, it was still decent form. The big worry with him today has to be the forecast ground, which is currently very soft (3.8 on the petrometer).

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International Race Fan

Sacred Life in the Prix Thomas Bryon, 2.05 Saint-Cloud

This group 3 race feature some high profile runners like High Dream milena who looked very unlucky against Unfortunately in the Prix Robert Papin when she seemed to get stopped in her run. She again finished further behind that runner in the group one Prix Morny; but it’s still decent form to have been beaten only 3.5 lengths in such a high profile race. She has looked a little flat-footed in her races so the step up to 7 furlongs could help.

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International Race Fan

Chantilly and Newmarket Group Racing

12.30 Chantilly

There was only a head separating Darbuzan, Monreal and Casterton at Chantilly 3 weeks ago and there should be little between them again. Darbuzan just managed to hang on in a tight finish and he knows how to win having racked up 3 successive victories. Darbuzan is a best priced 5/2 with the UK bookies and looks like going off much shorter on the PMU. Casterton is a best priced 10/1 with the UK bookies and this could be worth chancing each-way against the favourite here at Chantilly on slower ground.

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International Race Fan

Take On West Coast With Timeline in the Pennsylvania Derby

10.45 Parx, Pennsylvania Derby

Bob Baffert fields West Coast here and he is going to be tough to beat on the back of his impressive Travers win. He burst in to the limelight in similar fashion to last year’s winner Travers winner Arrogate, though not as visually impressive he was still an easy winner with plenty of quality horses in behind. He made all in the Travers, where he was given an easy time in the lead, settling steady fractions upfront. He won’t be able to do the same here as he’ll have to contend with Timeline drawn in 1, Irish War Cry and Outplay who are very speedy.

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