International Race Fan

Tips and pointers for the big international meetings where British and Irish horses create favourable betting markets to profit from.

German Raider Instigator Gets His Ground
International Race Fan

German Raider Instigator Gets His Ground

12.10 Deauville

Jean-Pierre Carvalho’s Instigator looks to have conditions in his favour in this 1m4f race with the ground currently very soft. He finished second to Akhiro in the Prix Turenne at Deauville on the 13th of September on similar ground where he only just failed to reel in the winner. He finished just over a length in front of Londres, who he meets again in today’s race; he is feared most as it was only his second career start, running an eye catching race under a sympathetic ride, finishing fast to take third.

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International Race Fan

La Coronel in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes at Keenland

The two market leaders, New Money Honey and Uni have been done no favours being drawn out widest of all in stalls 10 and 11. The wide draw may not be such a handicap for Uni, who likes to come off the pace but it could cause problems for New Money Honey who likes to race up with the pace and she is also returning off a 7 week break. Uni just caught La Coronel in final strides of the grade 2 Sands Point Stakes at Belmont Park 4 weeks ago; but there are reasons to think she can reverse form this time around.

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International Race Fan

13.10 Maisons-Laffitte, True Romance in the Prix Coaraze

Andre Fabre’s Cascadian and the Francis-Henri Graffard trained True Romance look like they could be very good colts in this 7 furlong conditions race. Cascadian is the likely favourite on the back of a very impressive debut, followed by a second place finish behind Mythical Magic at Deauville. He has struggled with the break in both races but has managed to get himself back in to his races, finishing strongly. He won his debut race at Chantilly by 4.5 lengths on good ground, showing great acceleration but the soft ground seemed less to his liking next time out. Though he was a beaten favourite in his second outing, it was still decent form. The big worry with him today has to be the forecast ground, which is currently very soft (3.8 on the petrometer).

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International Race Fan

Sacred Life in the Prix Thomas Bryon, 2.05 Saint-Cloud

This group 3 race feature some high profile runners like High Dream milena who looked very unlucky against Unfortunately in the Prix Robert Papin when she seemed to get stopped in her run. She again finished further behind that runner in the group one Prix Morny; but it’s still decent form to have been beaten only 3.5 lengths in such a high profile race. She has looked a little flat-footed in her races so the step up to 7 furlongs could help.

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International Race Fan

Chantilly and Newmarket Group Racing

12.30 Chantilly

There was only a head separating Darbuzan, Monreal and Casterton at Chantilly 3 weeks ago and there should be little between them again. Darbuzan just managed to hang on in a tight finish and he knows how to win having racked up 3 successive victories. Darbuzan is a best priced 5/2 with the UK bookies and looks like going off much shorter on the PMU. Casterton is a best priced 10/1 with the UK bookies and this could be worth chancing each-way against the favourite here at Chantilly on slower ground.

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International Race Fan

Take On West Coast With Timeline in the Pennsylvania Derby

10.45 Parx, Pennsylvania Derby

Bob Baffert fields West Coast here and he is going to be tough to beat on the back of his impressive Travers win. He burst in to the limelight in similar fashion to last year’s winner Travers winner Arrogate, though not as visually impressive he was still an easy winner with plenty of quality horses in behind. He made all in the Travers, where he was given an easy time in the lead, settling steady fractions upfront. He won’t be able to do the same here as he’ll have to contend with Timeline drawn in 1, Irish War Cry and Outplay who are very speedy.

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International Race Fan

Northern Dancer Turf Stakes and Woodbine Mile Stakes Preview

10.31 Woodbine, Northern Dancer Turf Stakes

Hawkbill looks head and shoulders above the American and Canadian runners, but he has to concede weight all-around and it’s going to be on the quick side which isn’t ideal as he’s run poorly on firm ground in the past. Messi looks the best of the home team but at the prices I will give the local Canadian horse Noble Thought at 9/1 a chance. He has only failed to finish in the first 3 twice so he could be a fair each way bet, and if Hawkbill doesn’t take to the track he could pick up the pieces at a decent price.

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International Race Fan

Recoletos and One Foot In Heaven Warming Up For the Arc

1.35 Maisons-Laffitte, Prix du Prince d’Orange

Recoletos has by far the best form in this race and seems to excel in really soft ground. He won this year’s Prix Greffulhe on very soft ground, beating Waldgeist and Akihiro easily. On quicker ground in the Prix du Jockey Club he was not able to confirm that form with Waldgeist, finishing just under a length behind that opponent but it was still a great performance, especially considering he is better with more give in the ground.

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International Race Fan

Qemah in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown

5.35 Leopardstown, Matron Stakes

Aiden O’Briens Winter, who is the even money favourite, is going to be tough to beat in this year’s renewal of the Matron Stakes. Alice Springs was an impressive winner in this race last for the trainer, but that was only the second win in this race for O’Brien and for a trainer with such talent that dominates the classics in both England and Ireland, winning this race isn’t a main priority. O’Brien has already stated that Winter may not be 100% for this, so it could pay to look elsewhere for the winner.

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International Race Fan

Over Reacted to go Close in the Prix d'Arenberg

310 Chantilly, Prix d'Arenberg

Charlie Appleby’s Sound And Silence sets a decent standard in this group 3 contest for 2-year-olds over 5 furlongs. He has won 3 of his 5 runs to date; he is currently a best priced 5/4 but if he goes off anywhere near 3.0 on the PMU he is a bet for me. While Racebets go 5/4, they are alone pricing him up odds against, with him being priced up as short as 2/5 with other bookmakers.

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