2017 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Antepost Betting
Enable Strengthens Her Hand While Almanzor is Retired
The last week of racing action has seen John Gosden’s filly, Enable strengthen her grip at the head of the market, to go odds on with another impressive display in the Yorkshire Oaks at York. Back in against her own sex she lead from the start and won with ease, with her stable mate Coronet coming home second. Though this form may not be on the level of her King George victory, she could not have won any easier.
The King George form received a boost, with second place finisher Ulyssees taking the Juddmonte International at York. Ulyssees travelled well in behind before cruising in to the lead for an impressive win. The better ground and the drop down to 10 furlongs was more to his liking, but it clearly shows how good Enable is and with a few challengers on the other side of the Channel dropping away it’s looking more like it could go her way.
Almanzor finally made his belated reappearance but it was a no show from Jean-Claude Rouget’s champion of 2016 and he now goes in to retirement. The trainer is also responsible for this year’s leading 3-year-old, Brametot, but he failed to show his usual finishing kick and finished nearly 10 lengths behind Eminent. Having had a traditional summer break he could find the required improvement to figure in the big race and it would be foolish to write him off after one poor race.
Brametot has an entry in the Prix Niel, along with Waldgeist whom he beat in the Prix du Jockey Club; he looks like being Fabre’s main contender from the classic generation. Alain de Royer Dupre’s Shakeel also has an entry after a hard-fought win over Permian in the Grand Prix de Paris.
The Prix Foy is looking a really great race if many of the pre-entries turn up. Satono Diamond and Satono Noblese both have entries, along with recent Hoppergarten winner, Dschingis Secret. Silverwave, the winner of last year’s race is also entered, along with Fabre’s Cloth Of Stars and One Foot In Heaven. Four Ballydoyle runners are also in the picture, including Highland Reel, Idaho, US Army Ranger and Seventh Heaven.
With this year’s stand out filly, Enable swerving the Prix Vermielle and Terrakova not entered (would require supplementing) then it looks Winter’s for the taking if stable mate Seventh Heaven doesn’t come over for it. Last year’s winner Left Hand is entered but she has looked well below her best in several outings this year without any improvement.
28th August 2017
Enable This Horse to Beat in the 2017 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
With nearly 2 months until the big race, Enable stands out as the leading contender after her impressive 4.5 length win in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. That win was on good to soft ground though it did look worse than the declared going, which stands her in good stead come the race in October which is often run on desperate ground.
There has to be a little caution about the form, with the main contenders failing to produce anywhere near their best. Highland Reel as predicted found the rain softened ground totally unsuitable and Jack Hobbs flopped badly. Ulysses came home runner-up, having previously won the Eclipse at Sandown. He is probably more suited to 10 furlongs and would have liked better ground.
The stats are on the side of Enable, with fillies winning 6 of the last 9 renewals, with Epsom Derby winners taking the other 3 renewals and with this year's derby winner retired that stat looks even better for Enable.
Enable is a worthy favourite having looked so impressive at Ascot but I wouldn't be tempted by the 2/1, especially so far away from the race.
There is usually a lot of interest around the Japanese runners, but this year it looks like it could be minimal. Kitasan Black, Satono Diamond and Satono Noblese all hold entries, with last year's Sha Tin winner Satono Diamond the stand-out, having beaten Highland Reel in the Hong Kong Vase.
Prior to Enable taking favouritism, it was last year's champion 3-year-old Almanzor that stood at the head of the market. He may make his seasonal debut in the Juddmonte International at York on the 23rd August. He is a fascinating contender but he has yet to race over further than 10.5 furlongs. Jean-Claude Rouget also trains this year champion 3-year-old in France in Brametot. He has won both the colt's classics in France, both by just a short-head and it looks very likely the extra furlong and a half of the Arc could really suit, though bad ground may not be ideal.
Andre Fabre has won the Arc 7 times, but hasn't won this race since Rail Link in 2006. He has many entries in the race but it is guess work to work out who could be his main contenders this time around. The Arc trials in early September should shed some light on who he thinks are his best chances. Waldgeist was his best 2-year-old last year, who came close to winning the Prix du Jockey Club this year. An entry for him in the Prix Niel would be a clear sign of intention and he revels in desperate ground if we do get an heavy ground Arc. Cloth Of Stars has emerged as one of his leading older horses, winning the Prix Ganay this year but he looks to lack the ability at the highest level for the Arc.
Other horses that are below the radar that could play apart in this year's Arc include the recent Hoppegarten winner Dschingis Secret who comfortably beat Hawkbill in the Grosser Preis Von Berlin. Alain de-royer Dupre's One Foot In Heaven could improve on last year's 6th place finish; he suffered an interrupted preparation last year and went in to last year's race under a slight cloud. He's had a few below par runs this season but he's probably been trained with this year's Arc in mind.
Freddy Head's Terrakova, the daughter of Goldikova finished third in the Prix de Diane on only her third career start and could improve further, if her trainer decides to take her down this route.
14th August 2017
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Antepost 01/10/17 15:00:00
|Order Of St George||10/1|
|Rey De Oro||33/1|
|Cloth Of Stars||33/1|
|One Foot In Heaven||40/1|
|Cliffs Of Moher||33/1|
|Place terms: 1/4 the odds, first 3 places.|