Salis. 2.10 TIN HAT is completely exposed and on achievement win wise is actually nothing more than 7-8k pot horse also ultimately it would be a disappointment if either Dirty Rascal or Crantock Bay do not rapidly surpass the selection. I though have big reservations today especially with Crantock Bay I think the race he ran in does not amount to much, the only positive I will give it is the fact that it was Ascot he finished 2nd and he went 1/5 in running to win the race. That actually looks very good when it is laid out in this format, he is a big class dropper so my dismissal of him could very well be foolish, however I will stick to guns. Now we move onto Dirty Rascal he also ran @ Ascot slightly earlier in July, he went 1/20 in running to win that particular race he is also a class dropper. This horse along with the above cannot be discounted and it may be likely I have completely miscalculated this race. When I look @ my selection compared to the other 2 I see a completely exposed horse who actually looks out of his depth against 2 smart prospects. The Brighton race TIN HAT won was an egg and spoon race he was 1/4 in the market he looks outgunned here. However my belief is TIN HAT is battle ready today, I like the run last time out over 6f @ Goodwood an although beaten 4 &1/2 lengths I think it is solid form. I think this horse should be teamed up with something else for a nice Each way double today.Continue Reading
Split Second Ratings
Punting pointers backed up by sectional timings done the old fashioned way!
Not been on much with family commitments, also enjoying this weather and soaking up the beach. Newbury looks a scrappy card today, but there are a couple that hold interest and have some good fractions. I thought I would have a dabble before my summer holiday this weekend.Continue Reading
Nothing today like Coronet yesterday. In fact York looks a nasty puzzle today I think there is 1 bet on the card there and it is not a completely confident selection. SHEIKA REIKA she looks to be on the up, but she will need to be if Threading finds her feet. If both these fillies put in their best runs threading will be victorious, however I think she looks a way off her best and it will likely pay to side with Sheika in the belief that she is going upwards. I would watch the late markets though as if they plunge on threading it could be an indicator she is here for business.Continue Reading
BROTHER TIGER looks to have a great chance in race where fractions may just win it. Personally @ 5.5 I have had a good bet to layoff. This does not mean I do not feel this horse has a great chance of winning, but getting the win is much harder in this sort of race, and @ these odds we can have a bet to nothing if the horse goes sub 3s, or alternatively you could the lay again @ sub 2s for a nice profit. This is the way to approach this race in my opinion.Continue Reading
Cheltenham today the best bet on this card for me will be DUN DORAN. This completely thumped 2nd fav Gino Trail @ Aintree, he can deliver the same same blow here, so I am not concerned about this one. If Pearls Legend turned up here with his boiler suit on he could be a real handful, even though he is 6lbs wrong. You would expect something to be better than him though. COUNT MERIBEL should be backed again today, I cannot take Southwell form of Equus Secretus no matter how good it is.Continue Reading
Old Guard looks worth a punt @ 20s today with Boyle sports. A strong pointer in this race is a previous course win, that really does not thin it down quite enough, and the New One loves soft ground and he could test some of these on his day, but his day has been he is in decline and if one of these youngsters do not have his measure it would be a disappointent. Another horse at a decent price I was looking @ was William H Bonney. This race in truth looks a hard puzzle, but Old Guard looks worth a fairly decent punt here @ 20/1Continue Reading