Split Second Ratings

Punting pointers backed up by sectional timings done the old fashioned way!

Split Second Ratings

Tuesday

Catterick is Ordinary racing 1st race Charnock Richard is fully exposed and is what he is but he sets a standard here that has to be beaten. Catterick 2nd race take Hot Hannah to collect 2.45 Belle Peinture is outclassed and outgunned, on my timings this has no chance, however I cannot discount her running a belter, if this race is slowly run then she may have a squeak, 6 year old maidens are not good win bets and I am not advocating they are, however if she is big digits a good green opportunity may arise. Over @ Leics using my same criteria, Ornate could return to the winners circle after being overtried lto

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Split Second Ratings

YORK Stat bets

13.55 Lets cut to the chase these are the best stats over 7 years. 4,5,6 year olds. Under 25 days. Goodwood is a track that flags up with 4 winners having run previously at Glorious Goodwood. OR 95-104 covers all the winners bar Tax Free in this period. Weights 9-4-9-7 again covered all the winners if we ignore 10 year old Tax Free. I think 2 in this field stand out on the stats, Edward Lewis and Amomentofmadness. If we go by previous weights we are left with 1 clear cut selection EDWARD LEWIS.

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Split Second Ratings

Monday's Stat Based Selections

14.15 Ayr

9 betfair price or less 6/7. 3/5 year olds 5/7. using these two simple stat we can slice this field down to 3 likely winners that are all 3 year olds. Yes You. Magic Journey. Size matters. We can now dig into these. Yes you and Free to Roam fail on the fact that the minimum requirement appears to be a win over @ least 7.2f 6/7. We are left with MAGIC JOURNEY and this is the selection.

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Split Second Ratings

Stat Saturday 70% or better statiscal chance bets Including a stat for Sunday

I am looking @ the Ascot card and I am going stats based assessment today. There is a massive chance we fall into the back fitting trap though, however I will keep the set small that we work from, and attempt to just use the very best percentages. As I have 7 years data this is where we start. This is only a small pool, so we do run the risk of theses stats being useless. Any bet must be 70% stat or better.

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Split Second Ratings

Workshop Saturday.

I have been testing a new little pocket money earner. This involves using Betmover. This can be found @ Betmover.com. The method is very easy. I look @ the Markets tab, top right take the Noon price, we only look at horses @ 10 or less. We then take 20% off this price, so for ease 10 - 20% =8 and this becomes the target price. If the horse hits the target price this then becomes a selection, we hope he will go even shorter as no bets are set until the race kicks off. What we now do is set a back price 20% Higher than the original price 10 + 20% = 12. The lay price is the lowest price the target horse has hit minus 20% so lets imagine our selection goes off @ 7. 7- 20 % = 5.6. this would be our lay price I have been backing @ 1pt, laying @ 3.5pts. The results look very promising, although it is still very early days. I will update this, Saturday was another promising day, along with today, I am now thinking we can go a bit further on back side. I think we should increase the 20% back side to 33% thus we can then adjust the staking 1pt Backing laying 4.5 pts

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