Unexposed Parabellum for Fabre in the Grand Prix de Paris
Andre Fabre has won 5 of the last 10 renewals of this race and has won it 13 times in total, he sends in an inexperienced and lightly raced contender in Parabellum this year and he could be the one to side with at a decent price.
Parabellum has a lot to find on the ratings, having being beaten in 2 maidens where he ran very green, he finally got his head in front in a Saint-Cloud maiden when stepped up to 12 furlongs, winning impressively by 8 lengths. You couldn’t get a bigger step up in class from a maiden win to a group one, but his trainer Andre Fabre wouldn’t be sending him here unless he thought he had a realistic chance of winning it. His first two runs looked no more than schooling lessons, having being dropped out early, whereas he was ridden more positively when stepped up in trip last time out and came home an handsome winner. Parabellum is the most expensive yearling sold at Arqana at 2.6 million euros, by Dubawi out of the mare Pacifique who was a group 3 winner over 1m7f. This 1m4f on soft ground should really suit Parabellum being so stoutly bred.
This race often throws up unexpected winners at big prices and he certainly fits the bill at a best priced 9/1 with Ladbrokes and Racebets. Though he may be an outsider in the UK bookmaker markets, he is currently the 2.3/1 favourite on the PMU. The market is likely to change come race time, with Parabellum likely to go off bigger but he is unlikely to be anywhere near the 9/1 available to UK punters.
Periman and Orderofthegarter are the two market leaders in the UK markets but they will probably be a lot bigger on the PMU, they currently trade around 5.8 and 7.1 respectively but they will probably be shorter come race time. This race has been a graveyard for the English and Irish runners in recent years with Aiden O’Brien’s 2012 winner Imperial Monarch the only winner in the last 11 renewals.
Recommended Bets
Parabellum, 9/1 Ladbrokes
