Back-to-lay Pembroke House and Adreamstillalive
Pembroke House is a really consistent horse that has finished no worse than fourth in his last 6 races, and has traded down to less than 20% of his BSP-running in 4 of those races.
The make-up of the race, loaded with many pace horses could suit, as he likes to sit behind the leaders to challenge late on. He hasn’t won since December 2016 and the handicapper has left him hovering around the same mark (races of 102 today) over the last couple of years with a string of consistent performances. His trainer, Sarah Jayne Davies doesn’t have many runners but her horses are performing well in-running and she had a rare winner just 4 days ago; he currently trades around 6.60 for a back-to-lay.
Henry De Bromhead’s strong front-runner Adreamstillalive looks to be still on the upgrade and should go close in this 2 mile handicap hurdle.
He has an outstanding in-running record, having traded to less than 20% of his BSP in-running in 7 of his 10 career starts, winning the last two races. Though he’s a front-runner, he certainly doesn’t give up when challenged, which has seen him trade odds-on in-running, down to 1.26, 1.08 and 1.48 when narrowly been beaten by less than a length each time. He looks the dominating pace in today’s race, which should allow him to run his usual race from the front; he currently trades around 6.0 on Betfair for a back-to-lay.