Workshop. Topweights on certain tracks.
Topweights on the turn.
We are going to take a look at an angle that appears logical. On a tight track, speed is kept at a standard whereby the topweighted horses, in theory should have an advantage over lighter weighted rivals. The reason for this can be explained in an analogy. Let us imagine for one moment you are driving your car around a tight circuit, you can only go at a certain speed, you certainly cannot go flat out. This is the easiest way to explain what we are trying to achieve here. If top speed cannot be reached around the tight bends, then maybe the classier weighted horse may have an advantage. This is obviously a sweeping statement, and without insulting anyone there is of course so much more to any race than just one factor. Having said that, horses at the top of a handicap have been assessed to be there through ability, therefore we can be quite certain that this horse is one of the best horses in any of the races you may be assessing.
Using the tracks listed below and staying to distances below 3miles, the plan would be to back the topweighted horse in handicap races. If there happen to be joint topweights, which is quite rare, then scrap the race.
TRACKS Bangor. Cartmel. Catterick. Fakenham. Fontwell. Kelso. Ludlow. Newton Abbot.This may turn out to be better in the off season when ground is not hock deep, but we will run this from now and see if after 100 selections how this has fared, I have no idea if this will be good or just a complete waste of time.
