Race Profile - 15.15 Newbury Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase
The Greatwood Gold Cup is a strong profile race and since 2008 the winner has come from the following profiles
- Age - Between 6-y-o and 8-y-o
- Official Rating - Between 130 and 149
- Runs Season - Between 2 and 6
- Max Distance Won - 2m3f to 3m2.5f
- Days Since Last Run - Between 6 and 75 days
After applying these profiles we are left with the following 3 runners
OLDGRANGEWOOD
Although the horse is up in grade today he has kept on improving since switched to fences and could certainly run a big race today. Record when racing at 2m4f reads: B11. When racing on soft ground: 4131. When racing 16 to 30 days after last race: 1B1. When racing on a LH track: 3 wins from 6 runs. When racing on a slightly undulating track: 2411. Trainer 14 day form: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.76%). Trainer 1 year course form: 1 win from 21 runners. Jockey 1 year course form: 1 win from 16 runners.
HOLLYWOODIEN
The horse was not suited by the drop in trip last time out and is better judged when staying on well to win over this distance at Wetherby, however that was a Class 3 race and this is a lot higher class. I also think that the horse maybe better suited to faster ground as record on soft reads: 01443 whilst on GTS and faster: 121. When racing 31 to 60 days after last race: 1211. When racing on a LH track: 02141. Trainer 14 day form: 2 wins from 8 runners. Trainer 5 year course form (as no runners in last year): 0 wins from 10 runners. Jockey 1 year course form: 0 wins from 6 rides.
MORE BUCKS
The horse fell last time out and like son many in this field is upped in class today. The trainer has a superb record in this race and has won 8 of the last 10 runnings. The horse goes well on soft ground: 5P11F. When racing on Slightly undulating or undulating tracks: 32111. All wins hae come in fields of 1 to 11 runners. When rideen by SP Bowen: 214. Trainer 14 day form: 7 wins from 34 runners (20.59%). Trainer 1 year course form: 3 wins from 35 runners. Jockey 1 year course form: 3 wins from13 runners.
PACE
At this track and over this distance front runners and those that race prominently are favoured. More Bucks and Tornado in Milan are the obvious front runners in this field
CONCLUSION
I really could not put you off from backing any of the 3 selections. Personally at the prices and due to the record of the trainer in the race (yes he does have another runner in Vibrato Valtat) I would swing towards MORE BUCKS at the 12/1 offered.
