Chantilly and Newmarket Group Racing
There was only a head separating Darbuzan, Monreal and Casterton at Chantilly 3 weeks ago and there should be little between them again. Darbuzan just managed to hang on in a tight finish and he knows how to win having racked up 3 successive victories. Darbuzan is a best priced 5/2 with the UK bookies and looks like going off much shorter on the PMU. Casterton is a best priced 10/1 with the UK bookies and this could be worth chancing each-way against the favourite here at Chantilly on slower ground.
The Juliet Rose won this race last years and she looks to have a great chance of winning it again. She made a pleasing late seasonal debut behind Bateel in August; finishing 3 lengths behind in fourth. She has won 3 of her 5 races she has contested at Chantilly, including a group 3 over course and distance on soft ground. She is available at a best priced 7/2 with the UK bookies, but looks likely to go off shorter on the PMU.
Different League finished nearly 5 lengths in front of Clemmie in the Albany at Ascot but the general opinion is that Clemmie has improved and is rated the favourite to reverse form and win today. Clemmie has gone on to win her last two races including a 1.75 length verdict over Nyaleti. Different League has only run once since the Albany, finishing third to Unfortunately in the group 1 Prix Morny, with Nyalti a further 2.5 lengths behind. Mark Johnston’s Threading looks like she could be very good; she is undefeated in two outings and was very impressive in soft ground. At the prices I would side with Different League at 5/1; she was available at 7/1 this morning but the current price still looks reasonable and she has also won on soft ground.
Robin Of Navan and Avilius look the ones to concentrate on in this race. Robin Of Navan is a best priced 333/100 with the UK bookmakers but is currently hovering around 7.4 on the PMU, which is a great price. If Robin Of Navan is still hovering at 5.0 or greater on the PMU just before the off then he is the bet here.
Andre Fabre’s Avilius ran a great race behind Cracksman to be only beaten 3.5 lengths in to second in the Prix Niel. He finished just over a length behind Salouen at Deauville in August, but he was coming in to that race off a break and he should reverse form with that runner with fitness on his side and on this easier surface. First Sitting has a verdict over Garlingari at Deauville in August, but he got first run on his opponent who appeared flat footed on the quicker surface, until he really picked up when it was too late. Garlingari should reverse form with First Sitting today, but he will have his work cut out to reverse previous form with Robert Of Navan who will also appreciate the ground on the soft side.
If the ground is genuinely no worse the good to soft then Taareef should have little trouble in winning this race. He ran a great race in the Prix du Moulin to finish second to Ribchester on ground too soft. On good ground he brushed aside the likes of Al Wukair and Zelzal carrying a penalty. At evens or better on the foecast good to soft ground he looks a solid favourite to take this race; just keep an eye on the day’s earlier races to see what the ground is like at Chantilly.