Antepost Preview: Goodwood Sussex Stakes
3.35 Goodwood, Wednesday 2nd August 2017
The Anglo-Irish heavyweights, Ribchester, Barney Roy and Churchill look set for a fascinating Sussex Stakes; the highlight of the Goodwood festival. While the three afore mentioned runners look the obvious ones to concentrate on, it could pay to chance Jean Claude Rouget’s Zelzal.
Jean Claude-Rouget doesn’t send many horses over the channel, but they have proved profitable to follow, even against industry SP. He has targeted a total of 17 races in the last 5 years; winning 6 and showing a profit of 7.88 points to level stakes.
Zelzal returned to action in the Prix Bertrand du Breuil at Chantilly on the 18th of June. While he was favoured by the weights that day, he was given far too much to do, settled at the rear of the field before making up ground from the rear to finish second to the improved Taareef. That run will have put him spot on for this race and he is sure to get a great pace to run at with both Goldolphin and Coolmore looking likely to field multiple runners for the star performers.
Though his level of form puts him in here around fourth best, his best performance to date came in the Prix Jean Prat last year against several UK runners that ensured a solid pace for him to attack late, and was a comfortable winner by an easy 2 lengths. His usual rider, Gregory Benoist will be unavailable for the ride as he is injured so it looks likely that Frankie Dettori will be onboard, which is a positive.
Of the main contenders; Ribchester looks quite solid but evens is too short for me. Barney Roy finished 4 .5 lengths in front of Churchill in the St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, but the betting has Barney Roy at 6/1 while Churchill is only a best priced 15/8; Barney Roy has to be the bet at the prices.
Zelzal is a best priced 10/1 for the race in 5 days’ time; which rates a decent each-way bet. It’s possible his price will not move that much and you will most certainly get better place terms on the day so it could be safer to wait until the day before backing him. You can also take advantage of the Bet365 ITV 4/1 Offer that gives you a free bet on any winner priced at 4/1 or greater which Zelzal is sure to be.
Zelzal, 10/1 with Boylesport or best price on the day with Bet365 ITV offer